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RE: Economic News - 11/18/2016 4:11:36 AM   
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The Number of Jobless Claimants in UK Grew by 9.8K


The office for National Statistics of UK presented mixed data of unemployment rate which fall to 4.8% from the previous 4.9%, it is considered the lowest since the third quarter of 2005.. The Claimant Count Change presented a negative outlook as the number climb up to 9.8k in the month of October, the result is greater than the expected which is 2K only.


Moreover, the data released last September got affected and modified as it rise to 5.6k with only 0.7K on the previous result. This occurrence showed some signals about the worsening conditions in the labor ministry. This complication further stirred the GBP/USD as it insignificantly slid downside.






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Economic News - 11/22/2016 2:25:38 AM   
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Asian Stock Market Traded Mixed Due to Dollar Easing


The Asian market were trading mixed yesterday morning as the U.S Dollar strengthen along with the bond yields that increased as well, consequent to the victory of Donald Trump that further stimulated fund flows from various developing markets.


Despite of the softening of the yen, the Japan's Nikkei 225 rose up to 0.51% on the back of the broad based strengthening of the greenbacks after the election. While the benchmark Kospi Index of South Korea were able to bounce back and gain 0.05% following the prosecutor’s affirmation that President Park Geun-hye is associated in the political scandal.


On the other hand, the Chinese shares is in an upbeat as its global benchmark, Shanghai composite expand to 0.65%. The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong moved higher up to 0.46%.
While Major economic news were released on Monday morning as the trade data of Japan for the month of October had dipped, the exports declined and the imports dropped 16.5%. The South Korea’s exports for the first 20 days of November had decreased with 0.25, imports plunged to 3.1%


While the petroleum products and other commodities made an upward momentum, the crude add up 0.83% and the Brent grew by 0.9%.






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Economic News - 11/22/2016 3:06:37 AM   
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U.S. Treasury Yields Soar with Strong Dollar


The U.S. Dollar reached a six-month record high on Monday's Asian trading session because of Trump's planned fiscal policies and goals to drive growth. The uncertainty brought by the so called “Trumponomics” has made the financial market to buy dollars and sell U.S.


Treasuries which is expected to persist for some time. Although there might be correction near Thanksgiving.


For five years, the U.S. Treasury yields have reached a highest two-week gains. This includes all types of maturities which is an after-effect of U.S. Presidential election. People waiting what will happen next after Trump's victory has further boosted the greenback to thirteen and half year highs compare to basket of currencies.






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Economic News - 11/22/2016 4:32:48 AM   
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Thai Economy Slows Down as International Risks Increase, Investments Weaken


The economic growth of Thailand slowed down during the previous quarter due to a relative weakness in the performance of private investments which is now compelling the Thai government to increase spending in order to shield the economy from an increase in international risks as well as burgeoning political uncertainties in the region following the death of King Bhumibol. Thailand is now expected to deal with added volatility in the financial market due to the unexpected results of the US elections as well as the death of the Thai king. On the other hand, the military junta has already guaranteed assistance with regards to infrastructure as well as financial support for farmers.






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Economic News - 11/24/2016 3:06:28 AM   
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Australia’s Mining Investments Fosters growth to Economy


Mining improves the economy of Australia with recovery of investments and increase in commodity prices. Furthermore, the high demand for Aussie boosts the economy specifically in Queensland and Western Australia since the inflation rates are going back to normal levels.


The unemployment rate has decreased since the peak in 2015 which also slowed down the population growth where the past reports saying it has improved were overstated . Nevertheless, this slow growth is not as bad as it shown a less than expected results.


On the bright side, it is the progress of trades mainly the pricing between imports and exports that gives a promising outlook for the mining investment and the increasing demand for money gives buoyancy in the economy.






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RE: Economic News - 11/24/2016 4:06:00 AM   
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CBI’s Latest Industrial Trends Survey Showed an Increase on Manufacturing Orders But Remained to be Weak.


The manufacturing order books heightened although the export orders and economic growth eased within this month as indicated in the order results of the Industrial Trends Survey.
The survey includes 430 manufacturers and assessed that the total order books restored its previous level which prevails during the whole period of summer and seen on top of the long-term average. Moreover, the orders for exports dropped down slightly but managed to sustain an above average result.


The volume for output made a slow growth which is about three months later. There is hope that the production for the upcoming quarter appeared to be in good shape yet its highest level was recorded last February 2015. In light of the steep decline of the sterling pound, manufacturers await for the possible extension of the average selling prices for the succeeding months.




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RE: Economic News - 11/24/2016 8:16:07 PM   
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Canadian Stocks Reaches Highest Levels in 17 Months Due to Massive Retail Sales Profits

Canadian stocks continued its increasing trend for a total of four days and has already reached its highest levels in 17 months as a result of massive retail sales gains, with retail sales clocking in its biggest profits incurred since April 2016. Canada’s retail sales data showed gains worth 0.6% in September 2016, its biggest gains posted since April and an indicator of the spending of the Canadian government’s recently-minted child benefits. Meanwhile, the Canadian equity benchmarks scored more gains as the DJIA reached up to 19,000, while the MSCI index for both developing and developed markets increased by up to 3.6% for 2016 and could possibly hit its record highest yearly increase since 2013.




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EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 24, 2016 - 11/24/2016 11:42:13 PM   
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The euro together with the greens had bounced again on Wednesday following the strengthening of the USD as it was boosted by the positive data regarding the much reinforced economy of the United States. The pair is sailing smooth during the morning session of the Asia and Europe, however, the inevitable volatility started amid the NY trading session.


The pair tested the level of 1.0600 ahead of the announcement of the Durable Goods data which has a better-than-expected result of 1%. The positive release signaled the market to begin the USD purchase again which enabled the pair to break the 1.0600 and touched 1.0525 prior to the stabilization of the pair that settled below the 1.0550 during closing day.


According to previous readings, the regions 1.0500 and 1.0600 is considered as a stable support for the pair which is also mentioned by profuse large banks, the aforesaid level will be the expected mark for the euro as the year ends.


At present, the price movement emphasized a continuous softening and the Thanksgiving celebration in the United States will not become a driving force for the euro to edged high against the dollar. Technically, the signs bring no good for the EUR, in this way the single currency is kept intact and wait for a strong support which include the 1.0500, 1.0440 and 1.0440 marks until we found a much stable support.


The latest German Ifo Business Climate caused a short period of volatility but things as of this moment remains unaffected. The price action is still on guarded and anticipates for a test within the 1.0500 level in order to recognize the final result whether this movement will progress or not.




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GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 24, 2016 - 11/25/2016 12:21:31 AM   
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The sterling pound continues to be the sole currency that has survived the far-reaching effects of the USD’s recent surges since the GBP has continuously inched higher against the US dollar even during the US elections. The GBP/USD pair consolidated and range for the majority of yesterday’s sessions but the USD further increased during the opening of the New York session as economic releases from the US such as the Durable Goods data came out exceeding initial market expectations.


The GBP/USD pair initially plummeted towards 1.2350 points but recovered immediately and broke through 1.2400 and is currently resting just below the 1.2450 region. The GBP is currently on the strong side and should the USD exhibit weakness in the coming days, then the GBP/USD is expected to rise to 1.2600 and could possibly go higher.


The FOMC meeting minutes were released yesterday and has confirmed the possibility of a Fed rate hike this coming December especially since its members talked about the urgent need to increase interest rates as soon as possible. The minutes did not add much volatility to the market since it met initial market speculations. For today’s trading session, there are no important economic releases expected from both the US and the UK, and the currency pair is expected to further consolidate with bullish biases enabling it to sustain its position over 1.2400. Market players are slowly regaining their confidence in the sterling pound, and is expected to further increase in the coming sessions.






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EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: November 24, 2016 - 11/25/2016 2:30:06 AM   
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Yen has depreciated resulting to breaks on the top psychological levels as seen on different pairing with yen. However the most sensitive among all those pairs is euro against Japanese yen. There is a tendency for the European Quantitative Easing could further decline the Euro in the coming weeks. If this persists with the Resistance levels sitting atop the price movement, it is best for traders to be careful with their next move.


The psychological level at 120 handle is significant for this pair which is 10 pips further than the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement considered as a 16-year move for the pair. Those who are waiting to trade in higher levels, they could suspend their trading until there is a clean break seen until the bulls could push the price higher. This could become an opening to look for new psychological levels in the next move.






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RE: Economic News - 11/25/2016 3:54:58 AM   
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Sluggish Trades Affect Germany’s Economic Growth


The economic growth of Germany slowed down by 0.2 percent in the third quarter even though both the government and consumer spending has significantly increased. Mainly due to the feeble foreign trading that brought an impact to Europe’s largest economy.


The Government spending rose by 1.0% while the Household spending climbed by 0.4%, both adding 0.2% to GDP economic growth. However, the net foreign trade deducted 0.3 percentage point from GDP growth since exports fell by 0.4% while imports ascended by 0.2%. This implies that the companies are withholding investments in the brink of low monetary policies of the European Central Bank.




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USD/CAD Technical Analysis: November 24, 2016 - 11/25/2016 4:41:36 AM   
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The Canadian dollar against greenbacks moves in a consolidated state close to low psychological levels. The next move could be a rebound to 1.3500 level as what happened yesterday. There is less volatility in the market during the Asian and Euro trading session but it there has been a high activity during the U.S. session in preparation for Thanksgiving holiday which was further supported by the strong U.S. economic data.


The pair bounced higher than 1.34 level next to 1.35 level towards 1.3525 zone. This was induced by the reports from Iraq requesting to cut output of oil producers while balancing the market supply and demand. The current demand is stable while the oil price is predicted to climbed in the next days to come. This cause the loonie to rally and strengthen yesterday and retreated at the same time. The pair moves in an uptrend reaching 1.35 handle although it moves in a slow pace.


There is no major economic news for today from U.S. or Canada area. Hence, the current trend will remain bullish and consolidated.




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RE: Economic News - 11/25/2016 5:05:29 AM   
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U.S Dollar Gained Much Power Even Before Trump’s Victory


The greens continuously rise after Donald Trump won the American presidential election. However, these upsurge angst companies that imports their products to other countries which caused few investors to place the full responsibility to Trump for they earning less than their average gains because the dollar is too strong.


Moreover, these complaints were on the deck before the new U.S President-elect take his position. The squawks from companies point out that the cause of low earnings is due to the issues regarding the stronger dollar. Some of the large companies that the currency brought headwinds into their firms include Apple, Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Kraft Heinz, Procter & Gamble and Whirlpool.


According to the research made by the Pavilion Global Markets that current stance of the dollar is the top reason why companies earned worse than their expectations, followed by issues concerning Brexit, election, the Fed, and wages.


Nevertheless, Jim Paulsen from Wells Capital Management said in an interview that he predicts that the greenbacks will experience a decline for 2017 because of the increasing inflationary expectations.




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Economic News - 11/28/2016 11:03:21 PM   
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Service Sector Affected by Low Optimism in the Economy


Low consumer spending and rise in wages affected the Service sector of U.K. for this month of November. This would bring negativity this Christmas season since pound has also depreciated. Companies rendering professional services are expected to decline in sales while it is the opposite for consumer services which is predicted to rise in sales in the next three months.


Even though, the consumer confidence has weakened, the employment growth remained steadfast. Consumer companies may allocate funds to training which will increase spending but cut down expenses on location, vehicles and machineries.




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RE: Economic News - 11/29/2016 1:15:06 AM   
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Base Metals Continued to Surge Due to Increase in Infrastructure Spending


Metals had a persistent improvement amid on the supposition on Trump’s infrastructure expenditure and weakness in the overall inventories. Copper was able to arrive on its one-week high after the extensive downfall of the base metals. In trading copper within Asia has reached $269.90. However, investors speculate that Trump’s fiscal investment is almost $1trn which is expected to be the driving force for growth but will lessen the supplies considering the fact that China’s yuan hedging. In light of this, the bullish impetus gives rise for the demand of the trend-following fund as it was able to surge the buying pressure. Furthermore, the industrial metals sustained an upward lift amid the strengthening of the U.S dollar compared to other currencies.


Despite China’s procurement of copper as a hedge to overcome yuan devaluation, the data issued specified a positive growth in supply. There is also an expected rally in prices of other base metals in order to raise an opportunity to replenish short trading commodities.




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RE: Economic News - 11/29/2016 2:52:30 AM   
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Gold Recovers from Nine-Month Slump as USD Drops


Gold stocks were able to recover from its recent nine-month slump as the USD’s strength which sent gold prices down and pushed silver into a bearish market finally fizzled out. As gold finally clocked in its first increases in four days, its weekly loss was cut back by up to 2%, while prices have all but decreased following the release of highly positive economic data and expected increase in national spending after Trump’s recent win increased market expectations of added interest rates. As a result, a lot of investors are now selling off gold-backed investments, the fastest selloff seen in three years.


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RE: Economic News - 11/30/2016 9:44:29 PM   
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Oil Market Uncertainty Brought the Prices Down


Market still awaits if OPEC will be able to reduce their production output on Wednesday bringing the oil price down on Tuesday. The next OPEC meeting will be held on Wednesday at Vienna to come up with a decision to cut production. This brought uncertainty in the market resulting in high volatility. Political considerations and set agreement for quota of countries hinders from coming up to an agreement. If there will be no agreement reached, oil prices are expected to rise averaging $45 per barrel until next summer.




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RE: Economic News - 11/30/2016 11:44:58 PM   
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OECD Expects 3% Growth Slip for Australia Until 2018


The intergovernmental economic organization, OECD has released its recent assessment regarding the economic stance of Australia. According to the organization, the economic growth of the region has the tendency to decline by 3% by the end of the current year and expected to persist until 2018 by which the RBA already planned to had an increase of rates by the aforesaid period.


In the month of June, the country’s economy appears to be growing, however, economists studied that the Australian continent reached its soft spot where growth are limited after the issuance of national accounts for September were released on the 7th of December.


The OECD advised during this phenomenon of growth slippage, the government should lead the ways in order to recover as soon as possible through investing in infrastructure rather than implying a rate cut considering that the average housing prices and rates are relatively low.




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RE: Economic News - 12/1/2016 12:58:16 AM   
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As Energy Corporations Retreat, Canadian Stocks Drop to Lowest Levels in Two Weeks


Canadian stocks dropped to its lowest levels in two weeks after oil companies were subject to significant losses in the light of talks among producers prior to the OPEC meeting scheduled in Vienna, Austria within the week. Energy corporations led the S&P/TSX Composite Index lower after it fell by up to 1.4% for three consecutive days, which is the longest losing streak for the index since November. Out of the 11 industries in this particular index, 7 companies experienced losses, and industrial stocks also retreated and were subject to significant decreases.






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EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 30, 2016 - 12/1/2016 3:58:35 AM   
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According to the previous forecasts, the EURUSD persist in having a slow growth and it used the 1.0580 as its base. The pair were able to break the 1.0600 region overnight and settled down from the 1.0650 as of the moment. Later this day, the solid resistance seen at 1.0685 will be challenged and the price trend will be the basis for the possible uptrend of the pair.


The pair is able to rose because of the mild weakening of the USD felt all over, the instability is considered as mild since violent movements are nowhere to be seen among any currency pair. As the end of the month approach, we expect month-end flows to prevail the money flow for today. Despite the positive results of US economic data, GDP and CCI, the dollar continues to soften for the past 24 hours. The fluctuation is caused by the fear of the market regarding President-elect Donald Trump’s unsure policies. Trump is seen posting his opinions using his Twitter account which represents a not so good habit for someone who is the leader of a state.


We are expecting for Draghi's remarks for today and we suppose that his speech won’t complicate the market or either trigger volatility. We also look forward to the EUR/USD to execute trades at higher ranges characterized with a bullish sentiment.






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